Although the Obama administration continues to advocate for reform based on private health plans, they have seized on the current outrage over skyrocketing insurance premium increases to demonstrate why reform is essential. Although they are attacking the private insurance industry, they continue to push for a reform model that provides this market with tens of millions of new customers.

Do the proposed reforms of the insurance market really provide us with the assurance that everyone will have access to affordable health care? We already know that they could not achieve the goal of covering everyone, and will leave about 25 million with no coverage (RAND 2/10). Also there is doubt that other measures in the legislation will have much impact in containing costs. But what about the egregious administrative waste in our dysfunctional financing system?

In their report released yesterday, the administration claims that "reform will streamline administrative costs of insurance companies and bring more people into the insurance market, lowering premiums of a comparable plan in the individual market by 14 to 20 percent." They cite the CBO letter to Senator Bayh as their source for this statement.

And what does the CBO say? First, the premiums will actually be 10 to 13 percent higher because of the offsetting requirement for increased benefits in these plans that would increase premiums by 27 to 30 percent. For those who say that the improved benefits are worth this increase, keep in mind that the benefits move from the current actuarial value of 60 percent to an actuarial value of 70 percent. That is still significantly below the 80 percent actuarial value of current employer-sponsored plans. These individual plans will continue to leave many people who need health care exposed to unaffordable out-of-pocket expenses.

What does CBO say about the 14 to 20 percent administrative savings claimed by the Obama administration? Half of it (7 to 10 percent) isn't even administrative savings but merely represents a dilution of the risk pool with healthy individuals mandated to purchase private health plans.

The other half of the premium savings, also 7 to 10 percent, stems from a slight reduction of administrative costs since the plans would be sold through an insurance exchange eliminating some of the costs such as underwriting and brokers' fees. When you look at the CBO explanation of where the administrative savings would occur, it is clear that there is not much there, and some of it would be offset by the additional administrative costs of the new exchanges.

Although the Obama administration is using this to claim administrative savings, the total reduction in our national health expenditures (NHE) would be so infinitesimal that it wouldn't even warrant a footnote in the annual NHE report.

The profound administrative waste in our system is not limited to the outrageous excesses of the private insurers but it permeates the entire system, including the very high costs of the burden that private insurers place on physicians, hospitals and other sectors of the health care delivery system.

Although the amount of the recoverable waste is disputed, everyone agrees that it is profound. Very solid data demonstrates that somewhere around $4 trillion could be recovered over the next decade merely by changing to a single payer national health program - an improved Medicare that covered everyone. Those who argue that it is only half that need to explain why we should therefore refuse the $2 trillion in savings ($ 2,000,000,000,000).

Most of us have tired of conspiracy theories. But think about this. The Obama plan (to be formally released Feb. 22) is a gift of our tax funds to the private insurance industry. Recent events have suggested that the plan may not survive the legislative process. Polls and focus groups show that the public is outraged by insurance company abuses. The insurers have chosen the most inopportune time in the reform process to cram outrageous premiums into the faces of their customers. Or is it inopportune? Look at the platform that it has given President Obama and the cover that it provides for members of Congress. It is giving them an avenue that will allow them to push through this program that the insurance industry understands that it must have for its own survival.

The Obama plan will leave tens of millions uninsured. It will not adequately control health care spending. It will perpetuate the profound administrative waste in our system. Above all, it will revitalize the private insurance industry for decades to come. If we're not going to react, then we're simply going to have to learn to live with it. - Don McCanne, MD, Physicians for a National Health Program