To rephrase the very important point that Paul Starr brings to this debate, it is not the design of the public option that is crucial to successful reform under the model being advanced in Congress, but rather it is that the design of the insurance exchanges must be absolutely compliant with the rules of social insurance. If the exchanges are poorly designed, the public option would become a Medicaid-like dumping ground for low-income people with high-cost problems, and would suffer from a lack of willing providers because of chronic underfunding. And poorly designed exchanges could never meet the test of social insurance.

Robert Reich would have us design an empowered public option that could shape up the private insurers by exerting full competitive pressure within the exchanges. That’s a nice wish, but all Republicans and an insurmountable number of Democrats in Congress have already made an irrevocable decision that an empowered public option will never survive the legislative process. It is possible that the “public option” label might survive, but only if applied to a private market-type plan, public in name only.

So can the insurance exchanges function as a bona fide social insurance program? Look at some of the decisions that have already been made.

Social insurance programs based on private plans require an individual mandate for everyone to purchase the plans, except those whose incomes are too low and therefore qualify for public programs. Congress and the state governors are very concerned about the costs of the Medicaid program and want it to be limited to the poor, especially since Medicaid is crippling many state budgets. Medicaid will not be expanded to include average-income individuals.

Adequate health insurance plans are no longer affordable for average-income individuals and families. Some form of tax subsidies will be required to assist with the mandated purchase of these plans. The amount of tax funds that would be required for everyone to be able to purchase coverage has proven to be far more than members of Congress are willing to budget. Consequently, it has been decided that hardship waivers must be a part of any reform legislation, effectively providing tens of millions of individuals with a government permission slip to remain uninsured.

Just to try to pull a few more in, the government will require insurers to provide multiple tiers of coverage. The lowest tier will be designed to be affordable, even though affordable plans, by design, are underinsurance products that fail to protect those who need health care.

Then the government would regulate the insurance exchanges, but look at the results in the most highly regulated states. No state has escaped the problems that are driving our current efforts at reform. No matter how many regulations are passed, the private insurers have always introduced innovations that relieved them of any real responsibility to address the severe deficiencies in our dysfunctional health care system.

Paul Starr may want well designed insurance exchanges, but this Congress has already rejected them. Robert Reich may want an empowered public plan, but this Congress has already rejected that.

As Robert Kuttner states, “progressives would need first to crush the industry influence in Congress that is very likely to hobble either strategy.”

But then, “It is high time for progressives to stop settling for badly flawed second bests and to throw their energy into a first best that could rally popular support and produce a system that serves everyone.”

And, “The political reality is that Medicare for All is no harder politically than a version of the Obama plan that would meet all the tests that Reich and Starr apply. And it would be far simpler and more cost effective.” - Don McCanne, MD, Physicians for a National Health Program